26 Weeks since the Election

Tomorrow is 7 September. The date will mark six months since Iraq held its elections. A government still has not been formed.

With the exception of Baghdad levels of violence fell in Iraq last week and the total number of incidents returned to levels seen before the holy month of Ramadan began.

At least 28 people were killed, which is a 10-week low, and towards the lower end of the 20 to 90 range usually recorded.

Suicide bombings left 12 people dead and 36 injured, non-suicide bombings left 11 people dead and 64 injured while small arms attacks left four people dead and one injured. At least one body was also found abandoned in the north.

More positively, however, was a police operation which saw the release of two kidnap victims held in a village south of Mosul.

A series of mortar attacks also hit the International/Green Zone and an Iraqi military base in Maysan province, although no injuries were reported.

Meanwhile, the Iraqi National Alliance (INA) put forward vice-president Adel Abdul-Mahdi as their candidate to be Iraq’s next prime minister while political figures from the province of Basrah re-iterated their desire for greater political autonomy. Even once the government is formed a raft of political debates will still have to be resolved.

Increase in Iraq Violence

Levels of violence rose in Iraq last week, a period which saw US combat operations draw to a close in the country.

At least 98 people were killed and 230 injured in nationwide violence, which is above the usual range of 20 to 90 fatalities and part of what appears to be a sustained rise in terrorist activity over the past month.

The most devastating attack took place in central Baghdad, where a suicide bomber targeted army recruits in Bab al-Muadham district, killing dozens and injuring up to 130. Otherwise, non-suicide bombings left 22 people dead and 92 injured.

In last week’s Iraq report AKE warned of the possible use of firearms with silencers for targeted killings in the capital. This warning has been realised with several ministry employees, judges, police officers and even a member of the Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) shot dead in apparently targeted close quarter assassinations. Countrywide, this worrying rise in small arms attacks left 24 people dead and seven injured.

The capital has also seen a rise in indirect fire attacks (rockets and mortars), most of which targeted the International/Green Zone, although several fell short of this target, causing injuries in surrounding residential districts.

More positively, the security forces managed to rescue a kidnapped civilian in Diyala province while there were no reported incidents of violence in Iraqi Kurdistan (KRG territory).

24 weeks since the election

Ramadan Mubarak. This is my first blog post and I intend to continue providing updates on the developing situation in Iraq.

The following is a collation of my twitter updates posted on Sunday 7 March 2010 – election day in Iraq. This was 24 weeks ago today. That’s almost half a year and a government still hasn’t been formed.

I spent the day in the AKE Baghdad office surrounded by journalists covering the event. I had barely slept the previous night amid the noise of countless helicopters and aeroplanes flying relentlessly over the city.

Everyone was convinced that there would be terrorist attacks aimed at disrupting the polls and scaring voters into staying at home. The anticipation was electric, with people excited at the democratic potential, but also terrified at what might happen in the coming hours.

We were receiving reports of mortar fire and suicide bombers around the city, but in the days that followed the election these reports were denied by the authorities and the US military. The reported mortar attacks are now thought not to have occurred, and the loud bangs we heard throughout the day were largely caused by smaller explosive devices planted around the city. Still though, several people were killed that day.

Here are my hurried updates, some of which provide a glimpse into my experiences on one historical day in Iraq. I have put some of my afterthoughts in italics.


05:20
So today is the day. #iraqelection

I remember when I wrote my first update, it was getting light and I was sat at my desk with a cup of tea and piece of samoon bread. There were numerous helicopters flying overhead. I was tired having had no sleep, but bolt awake with the awareness of what might happen. Every minute I was expecting an explosion. I just knew they were coming that day and I was really anxious.

07:03
That’ll be a bomb then. #iraqelection

The first one hit after an hour and a half of frantic waiting. It felt like someone had slammed every door in the building at the same time and there was a feeling of vibration through my body. Not a big blast and not very close, but the first of several nonetheless.

07:10
Mortars Strike Baghdad Green Zone As Polls Open: Officials [#news #Iraq]

These were reports coming in from the television and people coming back in to the compound from patrols.

07:35
Another blast felt in #Baghdad, and several key roads closed to all traffic, even those with badges. #IraqElection

The building was shaking every couple of minutes now, and the security forces were stopping journalists from moving around certain parts of the city.

07:56
Blast reported in Karradah. Just felt another one here in city centre as well. #IraqElection.

08:36
Mortar fire in northern district of Ur reported. #IraqElection

09:21
Ministry of the Interior has reportedly warned of 50 suicide bombers in the capital. #iraqelection

When we heard this come through I was sceptical, of the number at least. I was quite willing to accept that suicide bombers were in the city today, ready to inflict masses of casualties, but not 50. Nonetheless, I told clients that the authorities were warning this from at least one local news source. I remember the look on the face of one of the Italian journalists. We just looked at each other eye-to-eye for a second and then I just laughed at the madness of the whole situation. Sometimes when things are grim you’ve got to try and see the funny side of things.

10:08
Reported flashpoints so far are IZ, Bayji, Ur, Karradah, Shaab, Qahirah, Ghazaliyah, Adhimiyah, Diyala, Ummal #IraqElection

After I listed the districts, I spoke to our local security specialists and give them the run down of the districts inlcuded. This was difficult and fairly upsetting. If one of them came from an affected area he would try and get in touch with his family, his wife, to see if they were alright. The mobile networks were all down of course, so no-one could find out anything. All we could do was carry on working and wait for more news.

10:24
Two suicide bombings reported in Baghdad already. #IraqElection

According to the authorities in later statements, this turned out to be an incorrect story. I think in the panic and confusion there must have been some false reporting. Nonetheless, at the time, it felt like things were reaching a fever pitch. The sun was rising and it was getting hot. It seemed like bombs were going off everywhere in the city.

10:38
Route restrictions and checkpoint searches are increasing following earlier attacks. #IraqElection

It was getting harder and harder to move around the city, although the heightened security measures were reassuring that the authorities were making efforts to deal with the situation. I felt, and still feel dreadful for the people who man the checkpoints in Iraq. They are on the frontline. Every day.

10:57
I am safe by the way. AKE is looking after me. #IraqElection

And they were. I once joked at an event in Aberdeen that it AKE could look after a teuchter like me in Baghdad than anyone could do business in the country, so long as they follow the proper procedures.

11:02
The curfew is to be lifted for saloon cars in the capital. More congestion, risk of car bombs. #IraqElection

By allowing certain cars to move around in the capital they were evidently trying to make it easier for people to get to the polling stations, but there was also the fear that this would allow terrorists to move large amounts of explosives around in the city as well.

11:33
At least 22 individual attacks in Baghdad confirmed by local television so far. #IraqElection

12:06
There have been more attacks in Baghdad this morning than in an average week. #IraqElection

13:29
We have not felt any blasts for some time now, but there may be more to come. #IraqElection

I think I must have grabbed lunch around now. I was exhausted at this time. I remember seeing colleagues returning from the polling stations, with their fingers blue from the ink. There was an air of jubilation and defiance around, definitely. I remember being worried that the ink would mark them out to terrorist groups, because some had threatened to go around cutting off people’s hands and fingers if they had been marked with ink. In the end, I didn’t receive any reports of this actually happening in the country.

15:46
A journalist has reportedly been shot and injured at an army checkpoint in the northeast of Baghdad. #IraqElection

There was very little information available on this story and I never received any more updates on it.

17:58
Voting may have ended but the threat groups who carried out the attacks today have not gone away. #IraqElection

There was a bit of a rush at the end of voting and some stations stayed open to accommodate the extra people. Some people missed the chance to vote altogether. This was a shame. I think some people were too scared to go earlier in the day when all the bombs were going off (can you blame them?) and then when they turned up to vote later the queues were too long.

18:08
A lot of people are probably alive today because of Iraqi security force efforts over recent days & bomb defusal efforts last night. #iraq10

I think the tag #Iraq10 was to say positive things about Iraq. I was very happy to see it, given that most of my twitter updates seem to include tragedy and grim reality. I realised that the authorities had made a lot of arrests over the preceding few days, and that the situation had been controlled, albeit within an Iraqi context. Things could have been much worse

However, after the day drew to a close, and the journalists gathered in our house after filing their reports and stories, the more seasoned commentators and long-term reporters generally agreed that Sunday, 7 March was only the beginning. Unless an acceptable government was formed sooner, rather than later, the outlook would worsen in the country. The expectations were hopeful, but everyone could see the potential for conditions deteriorating

Now it is almost six months later and a government still hasn’t been formed.

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